Polymarket Trader

genesisalken

0xf6d9bd8865f80fa70fc294c17b5f4ead1e9ce296

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.6
Realized PnL: $155.93
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.78
Potential profit: $318.78
User PnL: -$161

Yes position

Will Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.93
Potential profit: $195.93
User PnL: -$73.55

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $15.14
Potential payout: $108.11
Potential profit: $92.97
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$24.86

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 28.9%
Current value: $31.23
Potential payout: $108.06
Potential profit: $76.83
Multiplier: 3.46x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $17.23
Potential payout: $107.69
Potential profit: $90.46
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $3.23

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.09
Potential profit: $34.09
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.88

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.27

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.33

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

Yes 30.5% 108.06 shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?

Yes 13% 107.69 shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?

Yes 37% 108.11 shares
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?

Yes 44% 34.09 shares
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?

Yes 50% 10 shares
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?

Yes 74.7% 54.87 shares
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?

Yes 80.4% 124.33 shares
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?

No 75% 133.33 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

No 65.9% 157.88 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?

Yes 74% 124.27 shares
Will Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 38% 24.68 shares
Will Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 37.5% 171.25 shares