Polymarket Trader

demlo

0xf6da15d6e03be00d4ac22107207cd6f759853699

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.85
Realized PnL: -$5.51
Win rate: 8.3%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.38
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.34
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$5.94

Yes position

Will another player win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.82
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.18
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$8.98

Yes position

Will Zoran Tegeltija be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.35
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.9
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Chris Kavanagh win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during Memphis Roundtable?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Byron Buxton hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Ends Jun 30, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.4B?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?

No 43% 20 shares
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

No 47% 40 shares
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?

No 45% 40 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 35% 40 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 18% 40 shares
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.4B?

Yes 12% 15 shares
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.4B?

Yes 14% 5 shares
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 33% 40 shares
Will Chris Kavanagh win the Accuracy Challenge at the 2026 PLL All-Star Skills Competition?

Yes 29% 17 shares
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?

Yes 46% 40 shares
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Yes 23.5% 40 shares
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Yes 10.8% 40 shares