Polymarket Trader

BradCaldwell9550

@Hashtag354002

0xf6ef8616189460df68ac418ed2878eec0707095e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $860.42
Realized PnL: $3.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $707
Potential profit: $707
User PnL: -$233.31

No position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during oil executive meetings on Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$315

No position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $596
Potential payout: $596
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $95.36

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 12, 11PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404
Potential profit: $404
User PnL: -$202

Yes position

Will Lady Gaga win 1 Grammy?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302
Potential profit: $302
User PnL: -$54.36

Yes position

Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $222
User PnL: -$8.66

No position

Over 15,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.99
Potential profit: $210.99
User PnL: -$59.08

No position

Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $210
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $25.2

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $3.02
Potential payout: $168
Potential profit: $164.98
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$25.54

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 14, 2AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159
Potential profit: $159
User PnL: -$81.09

Yes position

Rippling IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $12.32
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $75.68
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$24.64

Yes position

Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $24.14
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $45.86
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$1.06

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $66
User PnL: -$36.3

Yes position

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $16.07
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$9.48

Yes position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $633.41

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71%
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $333.84

Yes position

Will Trump post "RINO" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.36

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.24

No position

Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.21

Yes position

Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.33

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164

Yes position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.6%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $138.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Debate" in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.7

Yes position

Will Ja Morant be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $135.9

Southern Jaguars position

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.12

Yes position

Will "Sex" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $131.52

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.41

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.5

No position

Will Trump say "Mental institution" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.38

No position

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.52

No position

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $76.82

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.68

Yes position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.02

Yes position

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.79

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $61.04

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.46

Yes position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $56.19

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

No 96.1% 1,705 shares
Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

No 86% 1,705 shares
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?

No 1.8% 53 shares
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?

No 1.8% 808 shares
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?

No 1.8% 850 shares
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Billionaire" 10+ times during NYC rally?

No 47% 714 shares
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?

No 1.5% 841 shares
US bank failure by June 30?

No 72% 651 shares
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?

No 47% 860 shares
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?

No 88% 210 shares
US bank failure by June 30?

No 76% 651 shares
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Billionaire" 10+ times during NYC rally?

No 63% 714 shares