Azerfhhgee112

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$43.9

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.31
Potential profit: $135.31
User PnL: -$62.06

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.77
Potential profit: $126.77
User PnL: -$87.94

Yes position

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $28.81
Potential payout: $110.79
Potential profit: $81.98
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$27.89

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $52.65
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $37.35
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80.13
Potential profit: $80.09
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$39.96

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $16.8
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $53.2
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$14.7

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.76
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$2.13

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $28.5
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$3.9

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$24.6

No position

Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.35

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$13.8

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$11

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$17.64

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.6

No position

Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $10.59
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $2.57
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.59

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $3.01
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $9.15
Potential profit: $9.12
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.98

No position

Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $67.13

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.89

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.4% before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.45

No position

Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.57

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $27.6

Yes position

BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.67

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.78

Yes position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.85

Yes position

Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.14

Yes position

ECB rate hike in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.59

No position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $12.4

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.08

Yes position

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.65

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.53

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.29

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.14

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?