Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $113.92
- Potential payout
- $7.59K
- Potential profit
- $7.48K
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$491.41
Polymarket Trader
ya1
0xf6f4250f2da1a35b2c799046e219f2e9fd76764f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $824.01
- Realized PnL
- $243.52
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $384.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $615.5
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $325.59
- Potential payout
- $482.35
- Potential profit
- $156.76
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.81
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.41
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.02
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 72% 207.22 shares
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs 43% 255.81 shares
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs 69% 262.61 shares
- Thunder vs. SpursSpurs 94% 182.98 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Yes 13% 1,317.64 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Yes 17% 1,317.65 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 68% 480.88 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No 68% 1.47 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 8% 6,449.67 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.3% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 7% 225 shares