Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $12.45
- Potential payout
- $25.4
- Potential profit
- $12.95
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $7.45
Polymarket Trader
0xf704...9556
0xf70489a488695c5ae6cf42b60d127bcd84d19556
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $108.09
- Realized PnL
- $14.12
- Win rate
- 84.6%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $19.25
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $6.16
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $4.26
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $6.23
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.6
- Potential profit
- $7.6
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $6.95
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $5.79
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $6.76
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $6.76
- Potential profit
- $2.36
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.6
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.62
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
N
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 18?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 17?No 99.1% 5.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 19?Yes 19.7% 25.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19?No 80% 7.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 18?No 94% 5.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 19?No 87% 5.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 17?No 99.1% 8.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 19?No 80% 5.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 17?No 99% 5.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 18?No 73% 6.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 18?Yes 34% 16.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 19?No 58% 8.62 shares