Polymarket Trader

PostM

0xf7061e9bea193fa964dfcb4dbe67fc91fbce5c1a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.14
Realized PnL: $191.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.19K
Potential profit: $112.19K
User PnL: -$487.01

Yes position

Will Matjaž Han be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $624.97
Potential profit: $624.97
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $10 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $40 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $50 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $24.32
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $17.81
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $18.67
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.18
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $18.31
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.64
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $11.56
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $10.76
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.31
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.08
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $10.27
Potential profit: $9.93
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $8.98
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $4.74
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.64
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $3.08
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100.76

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 5, 5AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

No position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

No position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Jie Cui position

Wuxi: Jie Cui vs Alexis Galarneau

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

No position

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 0.1% 101,840 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Down 68% 1.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET

Up 41% 2.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET

Up 99.9% 2.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET

Down 89% 1.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4PM ET

Up 23% 4.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET

Down 64% 1.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET

Up 47% 2.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET

Up 90% 1.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET

Up 62% 1.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?

Down 38% 2.63 shares
Will Solana dip to $50 in May?

Yes 1.7% 58.82 shares