Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $295.65
- Potential payout
- $730
- Potential profit
- $434.35
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$46.72
Polymarket Trader
DesertStorm
0xf7125a8cec9400fa60988a1dcdff83ec96641a42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $295.65
- Realized PnL
- -$313.07
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.82
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.38
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.27
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.79
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.3
No position
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.82
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$47.4
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$130.46
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$498.15
No position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$561.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 96.3% 1,008 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 46.9% 730 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.9% 499 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 81% 790 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 87% 790 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 499 shares
- Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No 98.7% 222 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 97.7% 1,730 shares
- Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes 7.6% 1,714 shares
- Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes 36.6% 1,714.48 shares
- Will Biden finish his term?Yes 87% 722 shares
- Will Biden finish his term?Yes 58% 722 shares