Polymarket Trader

Ben0818

0xf7133fddc3be6643a33bfc64bd99f5dcf91072f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $242.64
Realized PnL: $527.05
Win rate: 94.7%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.23
Potential payout: $204.32
Potential profit: $197.09
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$42.77

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $99.25
Potential payout: $200.5
Potential profit: $101.25
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$62

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $33.18
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $148.64
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $13.18

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$40

South Korea position

First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $123.46
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.1
Potential profit: $122.1
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $102.98
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $16.07
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$67

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.96
Potential profit: $38.96
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 21?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.5

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.87

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.57

Down position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 27?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.5

Yes position

Will UnitedHealth Group (UNH) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.33

No position

Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.99

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.65

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.7

Yes position

Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.92

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.95

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.45

Yes position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 20?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 181.82 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 18% 111.11 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 38.96 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 84% 119.05 shares
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei

South Korea 81% 123.46 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Yes 26% 153.85 shares
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

No 49.9% 200.5 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 87% 91.95 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 24.5% 204.32 shares
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Yes 46% 100 shares
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Yes 79% 61.33 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?

No 81.9% 97.7 shares