Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $404.04
- Potential payout
- $7.85K
- Potential profit
- $7.44K
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$13.91
Polymarket Trader
Testinnnnnnnn
0xf7140d9d29d687ae51f533c09835189b26610d3c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.1K
- Realized PnL
- $139.38
- Win rate
- 29.2%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $620.48
- Potential payout
- $4.48K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $218.93
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $586.5
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $486.25
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $440
- Potential profit
- $434.06
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $20.18
- Potential payout
- $345
- Potential profit
- $324.82
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $5.06
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $294.15
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $4.18
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $90.82
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin by Friday?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $180.93
Yes position
Will the VP debate have 40-45m viewers?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.67
Yes position
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.5
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.95
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.54
No position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.36
No position
Israel military action against Yemen before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.54
No position
Israel military response against Iran in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.22
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.57
Yes position
Will Trump win 2 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.9
Yes position
JD Vance positive favorability before the election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$22.23
Yes position
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.45
Yes position
Will Trump win 3 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.8
Harris position
Who will win white women?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times September 27-October 4?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the VP debate have 45-50m viewers?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Trump tweet 20-24 times September 27-October 4?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
East coast port strike ends in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.45
No position
East coast port strike ends by next Friday?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.6
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.5
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.83
Yes position
Will Kamala win 60% of women?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1% 2,000 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.7% 600 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.1% 500 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 4.2% 240 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 4.7% 694.67 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.6% 217.74 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.6% 2,000 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.2% 1,284.69 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 20% 100 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 20% 700 shares
- Will there be a US Government shutdown?No 1.2% 5,851.94 shares
- Will there be a US Government shutdown?No 27.9% 800 shares