Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $704.89
- Potential payout
- $67.13K
- Potential profit
- $66.43K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$783.91
Polymarket Trader
BruceZhao
0xf73677e8ec74c0526bfd46c5770e6cfbd4f2c6e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.85K
- Realized PnL
- $81.05
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $557.05
- Potential payout
- $9.52K
- Potential profit
- $8.97K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$372.25
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $249.98
- Potential payout
- $264.95
- Potential profit
- $14.97
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $19.47
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $213.85
- Potential payout
- $213.96
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $13.85
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $213.8
- Potential payout
- $213.9
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $13.8
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $206.83
- Potential payout
- $206.93
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $6.83
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.87
- Potential profit
- $129.87
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $107.65
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $7.65
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $104.6
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $10.34
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $101.9
- Potential payout
- $108.7
- Potential profit
- $6.79
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $104.2
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $98.42
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $6.84
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $91.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$49
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $96.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.98
No position
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$84.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.3% 8,051.65 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 2,631.58 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.8% 5,555.56 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 1,636.36 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.6% 6,502.36 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 4,115.45 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 12,088.42 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 22,269.53 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.8% 1,470.59 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.8% 12,333.33 shares
- Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?No 95.3% 114.5 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.8% 264.94 shares