Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
0xf736...7fa2
0xf7367ade82b06174fd1be0829431019ba9c77fa2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $67.75
- Realized PnL
- -$74.44
- Win rate
- 31.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $11.46
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $17.55
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $18.32
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $9.47
- Potential payout
- $16.48
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $6.96
- Potential payout
- $12.21
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $4.82
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $8.09
- Potential profit
- $6.59
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $6.5
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.85
No position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.23
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.44
No position
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.67
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 52% 9.17 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 26% 6.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes 33% 29 shares
- Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?No 35% 7.4 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 28% 6.61 shares
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of June 22 2026?No 45% 8.8 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No 79% 6.33 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 47% 3 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 46% 3.57 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 23% 8.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 43% 8.14 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 56% 3.05 shares