Jerik8s

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.66
Potential profit: $100.66
User PnL: -$74.59

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.8
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: -$1.18

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$4.13

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$4.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.45
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.33
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.13
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$1.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.89

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.96

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.93

No position

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.87

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.17

No position

Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

No position

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 20?