Polymarket Trader

0xf74357d87e406131fb35Ab4883fE5aE0715c1fa6-1777253175863

0xf74357d87e406131fb35ab4883fe5ae0715c1fa6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $98.95
Realized PnL: $219.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 32.9%
Current value: $32.9
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $67.1
Multiplier: 3.04x
User PnL: -$18.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.65
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$20.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 62.7%
Current value: $62.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $37.3
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $46.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $99
User PnL: -$8.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $99
User PnL: -$33.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.99
Potential profit: $98.99
User PnL: -$34.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Down position

XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 23.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 16.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 51.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 37.7% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8.3% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 46% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 3.5% 40.82 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 59.18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 16.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 26% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 27% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 14.7% 100 shares