Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $240
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $40
Polymarket Trader
cataction
0xf74de633b4fc74db6a8e82c367d4e789dc08280c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $240
- Realized PnL
- -$2.01K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- User PnL
- -$176.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$995.61
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$999
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes 83% 1,203.61 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Yes 5.2% 4,869.17 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Yes 6% 8,321.79 shares