Polymarket Trader

p-trader-2026

0xf75991542e0adca9237608ba56f04c74668d0221

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $300.41
Realized PnL: $5.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $4.12
Potential payout: $305
Potential profit: $300.88
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.51

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $245.53
Potential payout: $305
Potential profit: $59.47
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$38.13

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $305
Potential profit: $302.71
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $305
Potential profit: $303.63
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $157
Potential profit: $155.27
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$54.79

Yes position

Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $157
Potential profit: $156.06
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$10.05

Yes position

Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$11.52

Yes position

Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$28.8

Yes position

Qingdao Hainiu FC leading at halftime?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$16.75

Yes position

Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Draw at halftime?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$24.12

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.1%
Current value: $36.5
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $8.51
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $34.6

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $37.67
Multiplier: 6.13x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.6
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$14.92

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$10.08

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$5.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.16

No position

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.27

Yes position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.15

Yes position

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.13

Yes position

Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.52

Yes position

Liaoning Tieren FC leading at halftime?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.47

Yes position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.57

Yes position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.2

Yes position

Will AZ win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 89-90°F on August 11?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.7

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on August 6?

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 36% 157 shares
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.7B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 7% 157 shares
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 13% 30 shares
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 8% 30 shares
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 15% 30 shares
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 10% 30 shares
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 8% 30 shares
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 24% 30 shares
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 9% 30 shares
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?

Yes 21.9% 45 shares
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?

Yes 33.3% 45 shares
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?

Yes 22% 45 shares