No position
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Polymarket Trader
lucazayden7427
0xf75ce92e1c34d8ffdf012d9d8d6f07facd8af734
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $5.31
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Apr 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the PPC win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.1% 54 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.7% 1 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.4% 22.46 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.3% 34 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.8% 151 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 26% 70 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 28% 87 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.5% 48 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.9% 49 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No 98.2% 35 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No 98.1% 47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 29% 67 shares