Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Polymarket Trader
TESTENAOMEXA
0xf75ce947eef753f0d7c65edcede8c45346ff0387
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.14
- Realized PnL
- $1.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$16.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 15-21 be less than 17,500,000?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $790.38
- Potential profit
- $790.38
- User PnL
- -$13.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $632.26
- Potential profit
- $632.26
- User PnL
- -$90
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $559.99
- Potential profit
- $559.99
- User PnL
- -$2.84
Yes position
Will Baadur Jobava win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $487.17
- Potential profit
- $487.17
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $456.77
- Potential profit
- $455.63
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.45
- Potential profit
- $454.45
- User PnL
- -$99.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $435
- Potential profit
- $435
- User PnL
- -$10.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $410
- User PnL
- -$2.86
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.77
- Potential profit
- $374.77
- User PnL
- -$255.85
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360.05
- Potential profit
- $360.05
- User PnL
- -$145.25
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 25?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $342.93
- Potential profit
- $342.93
- User PnL
- -$42.7
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.17
- Potential profit
- $338.17
- User PnL
- -$16.13
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $336.34
- Potential profit
- $336.34
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.54
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.68
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.24
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.67
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.62
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.67
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.19
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.45
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.29
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.64
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.22
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.78
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.45
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.65
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.71
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.24
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $55.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.45
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.21
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.22
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.98
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.93
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.43
No position
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 10.5% 175.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 109.09 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 14.6% 163.74 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 41% 82.17 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 66.2% 42.97 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17?Yes 94.4% 1.06 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 6% 500 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No 50% 120 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No 49.8% 120.46 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 26% 150 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 15.4% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 62% 96.77 shares