No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $398.58
- Potential payout
- $402
- Potential profit
- $3.42
- User PnL
- $2.21
Polymarket Trader
marktion
0xf763cd9b0eb5f1def0186f2a01770322ced5d3b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $933.52
- Realized PnL
- $282.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $350.83
- Potential payout
- $371.25
- Potential profit
- $20.42
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $184.1
- Potential payout
- $190.88
- Potential profit
- $6.78
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.61
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.73
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $23.14
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.13
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.53
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.81
Milwaukee Brewers position
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.78
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.52
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.18
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
No position
Aster all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120k November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,900 October 27-November 2?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No 95% 371.25 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95.6% 190.88 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?No 96.9% 350.17 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 99.6% 137.17 shares
- Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026?No 99% 5 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.6% 402 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.2% 397.54 shares
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesMilwaukee Brewers 96% 394.46 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 527.7 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.7% 524 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No 99.7% 523 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.4% 176.7 shares