Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $8.73K
- Potential payout
- $356.45K
- Potential profit
- $347.72K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$365.36
Polymarket Trader
MrMarket
0xf769c6390f6d564fe4859effbddb682c62660114
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.82K
- Realized PnL
- $67.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275.06K
- Potential profit
- $275.06K
- User PnL
- -$1.68K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.67K
- Potential profit
- $223.67K
- User PnL
- -$4.86K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.31K
- Potential profit
- $158.31K
- User PnL
- -$474.94
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $2.66K
- Potential payout
- $152K
- Potential profit
- $149.34K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $495.21
Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $113.66K
- Potential profit
- $112.46K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $56.83
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $835.73
- Potential payout
- $111.43K
- Potential profit
- $110.6K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$672.71
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $3.79K
- Potential payout
- $87.27K
- Potential profit
- $83.49K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $683.44
Yes position
Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.64K
- Potential profit
- $78.64K
- User PnL
- -$858.59
Yes position
Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.71K
- Potential profit
- $55.71K
- User PnL
- -$779.58
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $434.27
- Potential payout
- $51.09K
- Potential profit
- $50.66K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$740.26
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $4.46K
- Potential payout
- $49.24K
- Potential profit
- $44.79K
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $338.04
Yes position
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.85K
- Potential profit
- $29.85K
- User PnL
- -$2.19K
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $2.92K
- Potential payout
- $22.46K
- Potential profit
- $19.54K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.1K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $21.2K
- Potential profit
- $19.61K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.76K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.04K
- Potential profit
- $21.04K
- User PnL
- -$823.07
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.96K
- Potential profit
- $20.96K
- User PnL
- -$848.27
Yes position
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.21K
- Potential profit
- $20.21K
- User PnL
- -$54.77
Yes position
Will Justin Bieber perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.2K
- Potential profit
- $20.2K
- User PnL
- -$42
No position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $12.78K
- Potential payout
- $19.97K
- Potential profit
- $7.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $204.99
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $284.09
- Potential payout
- $19.59K
- Potential profit
- $19.31K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$146.53
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.36K
- Potential profit
- $19.36K
- User PnL
- -$245.6
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $144.66
- Potential payout
- $19.29K
- Potential profit
- $19.14K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$67.51
Yes position
US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.8K
- Potential profit
- $17.8K
- User PnL
- -$363.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.86K
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $6.77K
No position
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $3.48K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.16x
- User PnL
- $3.04K
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
Yes position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.09x
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $998.83
No position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $988.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 21.1% 524.2 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.3% 3.93 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?Yes 5.9% 263.38 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 96% 500 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 96% 100 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.5% 437.65 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No 64% 2,000 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 77% 6,542.5 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 75% 1,945.84 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 23% 2,478.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 2,445.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 29% 35 shares