Polymarket Trader

hawkis

0xf771e062f077a89aaa83e6f823f6576d1b4422a5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $105.29
Realized PnL: $101.49
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $143.19
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.55
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $141.45
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $145
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $14.83
Potential payout: $144.65
Potential profit: $129.82
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $8.32
Potential payout: $144.64
Potential profit: $136.33
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $16.13
Potential payout: $144.63
Potential profit: $128.5
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$7.01

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $144.62
Potential profit: $141.8
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $8.31
Potential payout: $144.58
Potential profit: $136.27
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$5.57

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $144.5
Potential profit: $142.55
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $7.3
Potential payout: $144.5
Potential profit: $137.2
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $144.44
Potential profit: $142.93
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $144.44
Potential profit: $140.62
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $144.38
Potential profit: $142.43
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $142.73
Potential profit: $141.37
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $89.39
Potential profit: $89.21
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$13.22

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $7.79
Potential payout: $88.98
Potential profit: $81.2
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: -$58.82

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $53.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.92

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $30.21
Potential profit: $29.13
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$3.91

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $15.44
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $10.14
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $9.19
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $9.13
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $9.88
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $8.44
Potential profit: $5.44
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.63

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.48

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $8.15

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 142.73 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 145 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 145 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 145 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 144.38 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 144.44 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 144.44 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 144.5 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 144.62 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 144.5 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 144.64 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.6% 144.58 shares