megabrainop

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.13
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.38

Washington Freedom position

Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Los Angeles Knight Riders

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.06
Potential profit: $13.06
User PnL: -$3.27

Stefan Kozlov position

Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.05

Zverev position

Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.15
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yuki Mochizuki position

ITF Tokyo: Yuki Mochizuki vs Omar Jasika

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $6.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.64
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $8.74
Potential profit: $8.48
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $5.36
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 10?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.97
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.76
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.48
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.23
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.73
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.48
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

largadosypelados position

Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79

METANOIA WOLVES position

Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Keyd position

Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

MIBR Academy position

Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Fluxo W7M position

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.27

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

PortlandFire position

Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

BESTIA position

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Los Angeles Knight Riders position

Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Los Angeles Knight Riders

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.4

Sebastian Gorzny position

ITF Dallas: Joshua Sheehy vs Sebastian Gorzny

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

No position

France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

QoR position

Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

BESTIA position

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Shopify Rebellion Black position

Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 57.3%
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $0.65

BESTIA position

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Voca position

Counter-Strike: Voca vs NuTorious (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Jacob Fearnley position

Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov

Implied probability: 69%
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.05

Under position

Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 167.5