No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.48K
- Potential profit
- $18.48K
- User PnL
- -$19.35
Polymarket Trader
Frenonski
0xf784e9a7a354c644c1af25f1ee9e1b68b91fab48
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $811.36
- Realized PnL
- $25.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $804
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $7.2K
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$50.53
Yes position
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $4.1K
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- User PnL
- -$186.05
Yes position
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 12, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 26, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.01
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$5.88
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Mohammad Yasrebi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.51K
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.13K
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
No position
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $998
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $782.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.5
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $745.29
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $648.1
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $595.59
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $575.26
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $523.11
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $508.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.03
No position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $394.59
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $386.39
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.97
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $309.03
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?Yes 99.9% 54.87 shares
- Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026?No 99.9% 304.9 shares
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsNo 99.9% 176.25 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?No 98.4% 100 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?No 99% 100 shares
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)DR Congo 99.9% 214 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes 31% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.9% 1,890.55 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.5% 300 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.7% 15 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 16% 15 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 16% 12 shares