Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $40.33
- Potential payout
- $6.21K
- Potential profit
- $6.16K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $15.51
Polymarket Trader
SamuelWatskins
0xf79bbb3ce1b21f86c3901f4d3e2f0b056acdc37c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $139.69
- Realized PnL
- $3.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $950.16
- Potential profit
- $948.74
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$22.16
Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497.75
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$10.35
Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $278.88
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $115.63
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.13
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $47.97
- Potential payout
- $112.87
- Potential profit
- $64.9
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $5.08
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $108.35
- Potential profit
- $100.55
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $11.4
- Potential payout
- $99.15
- Potential profit
- $87.75
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$16.36
Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.67
- Potential profit
- $59.67
- User PnL
- -$17.9
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.5
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.78
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.78
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $15.98
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $3.54
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $10.35
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $3.08
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.89
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.77
Yes position
South Korean President impeached in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.63
No position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.78
Yes position
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.95
Yes position
Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.14
No position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.66
No position
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.01
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.29
Yes position
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.13
No position
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.63
No position
Trump formally nominates Matt Gaetz for AG?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.43
No position
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.09
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.19
No position
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.4
No position
Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.15
No position
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.59
No position
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.49
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.39
Yes position
US debt downgrade in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.28
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.83
No position
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.6
Yes position
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.44
No position
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes 1.7% 262.5 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 59% 55.55 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 46% 125 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 45% 55.56 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 52% 125 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes 28% 17.86 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 18% 13.89 shares
- Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 12% 20.83 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 38% 112.87 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes 33% 15.15 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?Yes 10% 50 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 28% 99.14 shares