Polymarket Trader

0xF7a664F8674e5bFcFAA4ca8708796b82F898a4b8-1780641765041

0xf7a664f8674e5bfcfaa4ca8708796b82f898a4b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $180.99
Realized PnL: $116.44
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $69.12
Potential payout: $374.61
Potential profit: $305.5
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $5.12

No position

Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $24.71
Potential payout: $181.04
Potential profit: $156.33
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$2.29

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $164.08
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $152.22
Potential profit: $151.62
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $16.78
Potential payout: $133.7
Potential profit: $116.92
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $106.43
Potential profit: $105.85
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.76

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.04
Potential profit: $91.04
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $3.16
Potential payout: $73.73
Potential profit: $70.56
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$9.34

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $17.42
Potential payout: $65.72
Potential profit: $48.3
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $12.82

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $58.61
Potential profit: $53.63
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$11.02

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $56.23
Potential profit: $55.86
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.63

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.01
Potential profit: $54.01
User PnL: -$11.34

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 25.7%
Current value: $11.22
Potential payout: $43.67
Potential profit: $32.45
Multiplier: 3.89x
User PnL: $1.22

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $2.86
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $32.86
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $7.68
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $28.04
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $29.46
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $23.91
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $5.33
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $16.41
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.58

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.36

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.54

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.49

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.73

Under position

Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.77

Yes position

Egypt to score first vs. Belgium?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 28.1%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $5.74

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.76

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 25.7%
Multiplier: 3.90x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Belgium vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Egypt?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Belgium vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.6% 23.81 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 238.09 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.6% 15.56 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 51.09 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 54.05 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 1,111.11 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 123.33 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.3% 111.11 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 27.8% 21.58 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 17.9% 3.92 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

No 40% 25 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

No 54% 18.52 shares