No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $4.17K
- Potential payout
- $4.43K
- Potential profit
- $256.83
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $253.28
Polymarket Trader
Trumpchi
0xf7b3094865495f74f01bbf7fbcc83c535da5eeb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $18.09K
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.1K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$397.97
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $863.42
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $57.94
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $355.57
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $183.62
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $212.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$220.49
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $510
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$201
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $577.7
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$258.21
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $80.14
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$7.56
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $699.99
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $100
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$4.44
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $671.96
- Potential payout
- $799.96
- Potential profit
- $127.99
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$18.33
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $674.61
- Potential payout
- $692.62
- Potential profit
- $18.01
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $13.87
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $499.64
- Potential payout
- $636.48
- Potential profit
- $136.84
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $470.84
- Potential payout
- $550.69
- Potential profit
- $79.85
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $61.02
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $413.02
- Potential payout
- $488.78
- Potential profit
- $75.76
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $61.85
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $393.73
- Potential payout
- $449.97
- Potential profit
- $56.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $57.29
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $100.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$144.5
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $164.35
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $25.65
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $103.95
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $6.05
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 9% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 9% 500 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94% 218.83 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.3% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 70.8% 5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 89.5% 100 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 88.9% 26.92 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 80% 200 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 93.5% 141.17 shares