No position
Will Sabrina Carpenter be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $334.06
- Potential payout
- $334.9
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- User PnL
- $7.09
Polymarket Trader
moneyworksbetter
0xf7b3acf39394d1e6a2e32b998d17aa250a644d47
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $487.44
- Realized PnL
- $226.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $21.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $78.5
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Este Haim be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $54.73
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $37.25
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $24.89
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.8%
- Current value
- $8.26
- Potential payout
- $10.9
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $6.93
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $5.73
- Potential payout
- $5.91
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Cara Delevingne be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $3.12
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.24
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.03
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.53
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.74
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.98
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 75.8% 10.9 shares
- Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?No 96.9% 25 shares
- Will Sabrina Carpenter be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?No 98% 167.9 shares
- Will Sabrina Carpenter be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?No 97.9% 60 shares
- Will Sabrina Carpenter be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?No 96.9% 107 shares
- Will Este Haim be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?No 97% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp 48% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp 76% 32.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown 80.3% 6.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETUp 70% 28.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown 79% 25.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETDown 73% 27.4 shares