Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $73.78K
- Potential profit
- $72.45K
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- $295.1
Polymarket Trader
mcl2026
0xf7b8ff8b13aa5ef58f26e21a9566881aa06dfed7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.58K
- Realized PnL
- $49.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $10.59K
- Potential payout
- $53.61K
- Potential profit
- $43.02K
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $6.93K
- Potential payout
- $50.77K
- Potential profit
- $43.84K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $28.68K
- Potential profit
- $26.97K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$759.89
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $2.6K
- Potential payout
- $22.17K
- Potential profit
- $19.56K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $631.77
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $16.29K
- Potential profit
- $14.24K
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $317.58
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $381.82
- Potential payout
- $5.42K
- Potential profit
- $5.04K
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$231.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.24
- Potential profit
- $12.24
- User PnL
- -$10.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.22
- Potential profit
- $12.22
- User PnL
- -$10.39
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.21
- Potential profit
- $12.21
- User PnL
- -$10.21
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.15
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- User PnL
- -$10.33
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.15
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- User PnL
- -$10.27
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.12
- Potential profit
- $12.12
- User PnL
- -$9.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.01
- Potential profit
- $12.01
- User PnL
- -$9.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.87
- Potential profit
- $11.87
- User PnL
- -$10.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.54
- Potential profit
- $11.54
- User PnL
- -$7.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- User PnL
- -$10.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.97
- Potential profit
- $3.97
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.59
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- User PnL
- -$1.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.98
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.4% 73,775 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 5,423.54 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.6% 16,285.28 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.9% 22,166.74 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.6% 28,675 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 53,609.88 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 50,771.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETUp 65% 1.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETUp 70% 1.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp 73.9% 1.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp 44% 2.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp 41% 2.59 shares