Polymarket Trader

Xiarenzhuxin

@qltao25757875

0xf7c31558d359b55a86a894a8feb08082e63de1d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $83.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.08
Potential profit: $152.08
User PnL: -$146

Yes position

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.86
Potential profit: $92.86
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.23
Potential profit: $12.23
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.4
Potential profit: $4.4
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.34
Potential profit: $4.34
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will Solana reach $220 October 13-19?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 6?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Yes 96% 152.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

No 99.9% 146.15 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4?

No 91.2% 145.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

No 99.8% 133.27 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 99.8% 133.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

No 99.3% 132.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

No 99.3% 131.93 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 6?

No 97% 130.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 97.7% 127.94 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?

No 99.9% 125.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

No 97.2% 124.49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

No 99.7% 121.36 shares