Yes position
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $139.44
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Polymarket Trader
ebertx - 15868
0xf7cc6bd64be987730dc783e6d4787b2d1b802506
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $130.2
- Realized PnL
- $343.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $17.76
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $30.24
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $35.1
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $26.24
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $14.54
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $4.47
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $9.19
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $8.81
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $14.54
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $2.47
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $14.51
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $8.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $8.57
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022?
Ends Sep 13, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.34
No position
Will Biden say "Covid" during drop out speech?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.9
Yes position
Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,180,000 on April 30?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.09
Yes position
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.75
Yes position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.31
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate?
Ends Nov 7, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
Yes position
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $517,000 and $527,000 by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
N
No position
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $495,000 on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.87
Yes position
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate?
Ends Nov 7, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.38
No position
Fed rate cut by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.25
Yes position
Will Biden say "Come on" during the debate?
Ends Jun 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.44
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.52
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $11.02
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.87
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.87
Yes position
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting?
Ends Sep 21, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54
Yes position
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate?
Ends Dec 6, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes 85% 17 shares
- Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?No 20% 45 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No 96% 15 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 63% 20 shares
- Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?No 71% 8 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Yes 9.9% 45 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?No 49% 18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 15% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 10 shares
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?Yes 55% 26 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83% 9 shares
- Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be less than $554,000 on June 30?Yes 68% 16 shares