Polymarket Trader

kozochka

0xf7e52e5975560985e64076053a5d40bcc8c14288

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.3
Realized PnL: $58.42
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $42.35
Potential profit: $36.97
Multiplier: 7.87x
User PnL: $0.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $17.08
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$1.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $12.58
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $5.7
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $15.26
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $2.21

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $10.91
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $4.24
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.81
Potential profit: $13.81
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.63
Potential profit: $12.63
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.73
Potential profit: $8.73
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.12
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $1.64

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $1.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.51

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Up 42% 4.76 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Down 77% 3.12 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Down 32% 3.13 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 77% 3.17 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 63% 3.17 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.7% 30.58 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Up 31% 3.23 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Down 9% 11.11 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Down 37% 2.7 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Down 4% 25 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Down 13% 7.69 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 34% 14.28 shares