Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $137.4
- Potential payout
- $236.9
- Potential profit
- $99.5
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$30.6
Polymarket Trader
0xF7E9Ec364B18d4C470bDF2b19Dd5DB4D858f1c06-1772820911970
0xf7e9ec364b18d4c470bdf2b19dd5db4d858f1c06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $261
- Realized PnL
- $425.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $28.72
- Potential payout
- $122.22
- Potential profit
- $93.5
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$37.28
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $76.81
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $6.81
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $68.01
- Potential profit
- $66.48
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.47
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.17
- Potential profit
- $29.17
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.2%
- Current value
- $16.54
- Potential payout
- $22.6
- Potential profit
- $6.07
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.74
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $59.8
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.59
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.18
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.22
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.35
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $18.1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.37
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.32
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.83
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.67
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $6.61
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Yes position
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 70.9% 236.9 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 91% 76.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.2% 204 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 12% 16.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.5% 2.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 54% 122.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 88% 75 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes 92.9% 22.6 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 61.4% 36.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 96% 206.25 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 56.8% 36.97 shares