Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $140.75
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$191.93
Polymarket Trader
Amelsassd
0xf7fa1e32fbc9dade552f7ccc9325d9cec2e47db1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $448.73
- Realized PnL
- -$75.99
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $307.98
- Potential payout
- $348
- Potential profit
- $40.02
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.43
Yes position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $6.89
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$5.1
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$88.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 90% 178 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 90% 306 shares
- Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?Yes 3.1% 22 shares
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 93.6% 473.99 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 92.4% 351.99 shares
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 91.4% 473.99 shares
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?No 92.8% 850 shares
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?No 93.4% 850 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.3% 28.61 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.3% 178.61 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.3% 178.61 shares