No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $74.29
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Polymarket Trader
baiguo
0xf80b6d747d518cf42a05e05a79ed4900e29a0444
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.29
- Realized PnL
- $35.75
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $69.44
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Predators position
Golden Knights vs. Predators
Ends Jan 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.5
No position
Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
No position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Riley Leonard win the Heisman Trophy?
Ends Dec 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in scoring?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Manchester United wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$27.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 61% 98 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No 60% 98 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 66% 3,137 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 74% 2,797 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?No 75% 2,797 shares
- Golden Knights vs. PredatorsPredators 49.8% 118.5 shares
- Manchester United wins the Premier League?No 99.4% 64.5 shares
- Manchester United wins the Premier League?No 99.5% 64.5 shares
- Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in scoring?No 99.7% 64.37 shares
- Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in scoring?No 99.8% 64.38 shares
- Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in November?No 94% 57.14 shares
- Will Riley Leonard win the Heisman Trophy?No 99.6% 61.07 shares