Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $8.4
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $166.6
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Polymarket Trader
Netanel1412
0xf80e8072dae284d5c521b014b2756ad6aed53b19
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.26
- Realized PnL
- $130.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $163.66
- Potential profit
- $162.92
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.26
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $145
- User PnL
- -$5.22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.11
- Potential profit
- $121.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.4
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $96.81
- Potential profit
- $96.37
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.56
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $84.62
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.87
Yes position
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $82.88
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.54
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $19.2
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $60.8
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $64.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.17
Yes position
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 37.3%
- Current value
- $24.11
- Potential payout
- $64.64
- Potential profit
- $40.53
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $16.68
Yes position
Will Zac McGraw win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
Ends Nov 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $62.63
- Potential profit
- $56.02
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- $3.16
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.52
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $10.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.9
- Potential profit
- $14.9
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $5.99
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$3.26
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.24
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
No position
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes 56% 17.86 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No 57.4% 20 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes 5.2% 96.81 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 59.8% 16.74 shares
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No 68% 7.35 shares
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes 5.9% 84.75 shares
- Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 54% 18.52 shares
- Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes 4.3% 163.66 shares
- Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 4% 175 shares
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 49% 20.41 shares
- Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?Yes 9.6% 22 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes 5% 100 shares