Polymarket Trader

firstTimeTrader

0xf8105b9508852619c354ff1795d30f17b726e877

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.29K
Realized PnL: $1.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $475.74
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $24.25
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $155.93
Potential payout: $495.03
Potential profit: $339.09
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $37.28

No position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $405.5
Potential payout: $409.18
Potential profit: $3.68
User PnL: $45.42

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $52.8
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $277.2
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$19.8

Yes position

Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.62
Potential profit: $253.62
User PnL: -$3.55

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $202.97
Potential payout: $208.71
Potential profit: $5.74
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $6.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$5.55

No position

Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$53

Yes position

Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro lose the NOF1.ai competition?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $42.33
Potential profit: $42.31
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will a team from LCP (Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.5
Potential profit: $24.5
User PnL: -$16.08

Yes position

duplicate Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.13

No position

Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

No position

Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.92

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.99

No position

Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.54

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

No position

Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

America Party candidate on a federal or gubernatorial ballot in 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Yes position

Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.96

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will the US sanction Russia before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

No position

Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $30.84

No position

Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.43

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.39

No position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.43

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" 15+ times during his NATO speech?

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 95.3% 1,035.53 shares
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Yes 3.7% 150 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 71% 200 shares
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Yes 23% 75.05 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Yes 61% 32.8 shares
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 92% 778.03 shares
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 22% 330 shares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?

No 88% 409.18 shares
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 94.1% 167.84 shares
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 94% 40.87 shares
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Yes 22% 19.98 shares
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

No 99.6% 33.54 shares