Polymarket Trader

abed1

0xf81c4580fa778a3a2560259b65909618bfe5ccea

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.47K
Realized PnL: $976.14
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $43.3K
Potential payout: $78.02K
Potential profit: $34.72K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $3.1K

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $349.96
Potential payout: $35K
Potential profit: $34.65K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $249.97

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $425.72
Potential payout: $24.33K
Potential profit: $23.9K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$268.25

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $27.03
Potential payout: $18.02K
Potential profit: $17.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$22.96

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $17.27
Potential payout: $11.51K
Potential profit: $11.49K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$482.73

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $129.47
Potential payout: $336.28
Potential profit: $206.81
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $129.47

No position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $111.16
Potential payout: $111.22
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $11.16

No position

Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $108.07
Potential payout: $108.07
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.07

No position

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.54
Potential profit: $40.54
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will AC Milan vs. US Lecce end in a draw?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.59
Potential profit: $36.59
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.13

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.04

No position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.6

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.86

No position

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.13

No position

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.68

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.46

Yes position

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.88

No position

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

No position

Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.44

No position

Will AC Milan vs. US Lecce end in a draw?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.96

No position

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.47

No position

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54

No position

Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

No position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.97

No position

Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

Patriots position

Texans vs. Patriots

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.4%
Multiplier: 4.28x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 40.5% 4,444.61 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 36% 5,000 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 39.4% 1,034.98 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 37% 1,100 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 39.3% 950.87 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 37% 1,000 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 39% 461.51 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 36.9% 500 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 39.1% 115.1 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 37% 100 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 39% 359.32 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 37% 400 shares