Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $946.21
- Potential profit
- $946.21
- User PnL
- -$102
Polymarket Trader
irkjuggler
0xf823e2b90a804026f74d39f3f7b1b4ee7bdf5a6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $126.18
- Realized PnL
- $662.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $485.88
- Potential profit
- $485.88
- User PnL
- -$13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $326.52
- Potential profit
- $326.52
- User PnL
- -$205
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.52
- Potential profit
- $207.52
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.5
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.78
- Potential profit
- $137.78
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.29
- Potential profit
- $114.29
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $98.04
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $92.59
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.82
- Potential profit
- $91.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.37
- Potential profit
- $90.37
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.89
- Potential profit
- $76.89
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Current value
- $59.4
- Potential payout
- $75.63
- Potential profit
- $16.22
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $4.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.32
- Potential profit
- $59.32
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $50.15
- Potential payout
- $55.41
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.15
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.33
- Potential profit
- $38.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.52
- Potential profit
- $32.52
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.35
- Potential profit
- $26.35
- User PnL
- -$8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.01
- Potential profit
- $25.01
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.4
- Potential profit
- $20.4
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $16.63
- Potential payout
- $18.17
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.73
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Elina Svitolina position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Boston Red Sox position
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Toronto Blue Jays position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 35% 8.57 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 60.2% 4.98 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 64.3% 4.67 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 65.9% 4.55 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 35% 17.46 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 37% 9.75 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 67.3% 4.46 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 69.3% 4.33 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 68.5% 4.38 shares
- Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?No 89.6% 10.55 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?No 88% 7.15 shares
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?No 83% 1.21 shares