Polymarket Trader

microsoftcorp

0xf8258b75aeef9501ff7dec0d44d146b982222e4a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $72.39
Realized PnL: $1.46K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $564
Potential profit: $564
User PnL: -$355.32

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $72.39
Potential payout: $114
Potential profit: $41.61
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $13.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $475.42

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $374.36

No position

Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.87

Levante UD position

Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.06

No position

Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.43

Yes position

Will Trump say "Microcosm" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.1

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.4

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

Yes position

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $25.04

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Car" or "Supercar" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.36

Yes position

Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists Over 2.5

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.44

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.54

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.86

Yes position

Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $10.54

Campbell Fighting Camels position

Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $8.58

Yes position

Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.62

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 18, 3AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

No 73% 252 shares
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

No 84% 338 shares
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

No 83% 10 shares
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

No 74% 252 shares
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

No 86% 348 shares
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

No 82% 858 shares
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

No 82% 69 shares
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels

Campbell Fighting Camels 47% 286 shares
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

No 73% 927 shares
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

No 99.9% 318 shares
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans 75% 253 shares
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?

No 91% 873 shares