Polymarket Trader

0xf83e47F04F2A1cf5F79B5B929E9058E91110e1f8-1775598472036

0xf83e47f04f2a1cf5f79b5b929e9058e91110e1f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $450.33
Realized PnL: $647.28
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10.86
Potential payout: $21.73K
Potential profit: $21.72K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.19

Yes position

Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $20.1K
Potential profit: $20.09K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.05

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $15.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.54K
Potential profit: $15.54K
User PnL: -$70.97

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $409.27
Potential payout: $2.39K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
User PnL: -$28.15

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$34.51

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$16.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $464.36
Potential profit: $464.36
User PnL: -$4.64

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.08
Potential profit: $454.08
User PnL: -$128.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325.14
Potential profit: $325.14
User PnL: -$32.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.77
Potential profit: $183.77
User PnL: -$19.38

Yes position

Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.64
Potential profit: $118.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.25
Potential profit: $100.25
User PnL: -$8.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.87
Potential profit: $92.87
User PnL: -$0.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.58
Potential profit: $81.58
User PnL: -$28.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.15
Potential profit: $57.15
User PnL: -$33.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.77
Potential profit: $47.77
User PnL: -$12.42

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.1
Potential profit: $44.1
User PnL: -$13.23

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.23
Potential profit: $41.23
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.55
Potential profit: $21.55
User PnL: -$14.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.89

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.1%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $110.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.54

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $3.79

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Croatia position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$9.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 4,000 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.5% 24 shares
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 8,685.95 shares
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 3,314.05 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.4% 70 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.4% 42 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.4% 43 shares
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 322 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 33 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 487.38 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 50 shares
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 5,003 shares