Region69

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.5
Potential profit: $123.5
User PnL: -$110

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.54
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$0.76

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $9.88
Potential payout: $14.64
Potential profit: $4.76
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $8.63
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.95
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.23
Potential payout: $3.24
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?