Polymarket Trader

jarro

0xf853451fdcf4128ecc2685760411d538801490a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.42
Realized PnL: $21.8
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $58.75
Potential payout: $361.55
Potential profit: $302.79
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: $48.75

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $6.68
Potential payout: $175.68
Potential profit: $169
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$6.32

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $106.21
Potential profit: $104.99
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$13.78

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" during Women's History Month event?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.99

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7.4% 175.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Up 54% 9.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Up 50% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Up 45% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Down 48.8% 21.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Down 23% 21.74 shares
Epstein client list released by June 30?

Yes 14.1% 106.21 shares
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

No 87.4% 12.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Up 51% 94.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Down 99% 55.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Down 52% 55.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Up 51% 37.83 shares