No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $9.41
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Polymarket Trader
0xF861C110152a858D26F4D9a8BFC9e42421BED1A2-1782107221033
0xf861c110152a858d26f4d9a8bfc9e42421bed1a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.41
- Realized PnL
- -$1.75
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will T1 win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 6-12?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No 58% 7.49 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?Yes 36% 7.59 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?No 20% 8.87 shares
- Will T1 win MSI 2026?No 94% 10.64 shares
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?Yes 29% 11.93 shares
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July?No 55% 12.02 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 512 million subscribers by July 31?No 62% 11.39 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.8% 10.01 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes 23% 4.35 shares