Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $423.35
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.65K
Polymarket Trader
Licasamadaul
0xf8692cd04a8264de4f91dbc1deb6be45f8d9e2b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.04K
- Realized PnL
- $10.76K
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$554.83
Yes position
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$74.13
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $426.89
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$73.1
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $800.42
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $440.54
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Yes position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $137.35
- Potential payout
- $861.1
- Potential profit
- $723.76
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- $24.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59K
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.15K
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $804.35
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $791.49
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $563.93
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.03
No position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $321.43
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.98
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.57
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.25
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.46
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.46
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $11.34
Yes position
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.33
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.17
Yes position
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$23.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will "LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$142.71
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.96K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 65% 1,240.95 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 81% 1,012.26 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 60% 1,012.27 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 95.5% 645 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 60% 645.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 29.9% 1,674.1 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 35.8% 821.73 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 99.9% 704 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 71% 704.23 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 85% 833 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 60% 833.33 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Yes 44.7% 447.13 shares