Polymarket Trader

thesandman

0xf87bfd6edd5826aa45299f33e355e1a8f8d9180a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $538.7
Realized PnL: $22.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$503.65

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$299.5

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$877.46

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$171

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $315.35
Potential payout: $888.31
Potential profit: $572.96
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$2.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800.23
Potential profit: $800.23
User PnL: -$254.88

Yes position

Will the median home value in New York City be between $582,000 and $589,000 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $730.26
Potential profit: $730.26
User PnL: -$274

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $693.67
Potential profit: $693.67
User PnL: -$104.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $677.64
Potential profit: $677.64
User PnL: -$96.64

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $613.2
Potential profit: $613.2
User PnL: -$117.06

Celtics position

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$261

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $597.62
Potential profit: $597.62
User PnL: -$132.67

Yes position

Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $591.77
Potential profit: $591.77
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $150.65
Potential payout: $590.8
Potential profit: $440.15
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $27.18

Yes position

Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $582.86
Potential profit: $582.86
User PnL: -$29.95

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.52
Potential profit: $526.52
User PnL: -$49.92

No position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525.87
Potential profit: $525.87
User PnL: -$53.55

Over position

Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499
Potential profit: $499
User PnL: -$222.56

Yes position

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $29.87
Potential payout: $459.55
Potential profit: $429.68
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$15.32

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.26
Potential profit: $418.26
User PnL: -$12.33

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.19
Potential profit: $401.19
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.82
Potential payout: $364
Potential profit: $360.18
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$20.85

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.06
Potential profit: $350.06
User PnL: -$326.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $261
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on August 25?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

76ers position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will Mexico win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 28?

Ends Aug 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Kraken position

Devils vs. Kraken

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Suns

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Bulls position

Celtics vs. Bulls

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $950.81

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on August 20?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $917.22

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $890.4

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $852.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $812.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $724.47

Trail Blazers position

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $715.5

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Raptors

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $705.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $670.33

Knicks position

Trail Blazers vs. Knicks

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $660

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?

Ends Aug 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $631.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on September 28?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $614.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581.74

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $568.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 20% 33.8 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 20.9% 81 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 21% 152 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 21% 152 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 20.9% 172 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Yes 11% 25 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 25% 105.01 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 25.9% 110 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 16% 300 shares
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 5.1% 582.86 shares
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 16.9% 591.77 shares
Will Italy be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 32% 312.72 shares