Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.4
- Potential profit
- $161.4
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
0xf882C46BA53c3396D99deA01d26358B9CBc8a7e9-1721814012921
0xf882c46ba53c3396d99dea01d26358b9cbc8a7e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.14
- Realized PnL
- $210.01
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.91
- Potential profit
- $140.91
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.68
- Potential profit
- $78.68
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.07
- Potential profit
- $58.07
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.64
- Potential profit
- $43.64
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $27.68
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $8.04
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $17.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.72
- Potential profit
- $26.72
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $16.25
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.36
- Potential profit
- $22.36
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.95
- Potential profit
- $20.95
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Yes position
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.47
- Potential profit
- $18.47
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.04
- Potential profit
- $18.04
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $16.39
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.96
- Potential profit
- $15.96
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $11.71
- Potential payout
- $13.7
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.05
- Potential profit
- $11.05
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.83
- Potential profit
- $10.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.15
- Potential profit
- $10.15
- User PnL
- -$4.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.51
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.33
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?No 22.4% 22.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?Yes 51% 9.8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes 40% 12.5 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 30% 10 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 49% 20.41 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 61% 16.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 73% 13.7 shares
- Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 54.1% 18.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp 13% 33.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp 28% 16.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETDown 75% 12.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 42% 23.81 shares