newbie77

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.25K
Potential payout: $3.26K
Potential profit: $16.31
User PnL: $115.51

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $18.74
User PnL: $197.87

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.21K
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $104.24
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $140.09

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $332.48
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $55.09

Yes position

Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.84

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $887.93
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $138.58
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $35.03

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $4.58
User PnL: $47.47

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $725
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $275
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $4.25

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $908.77
Potential payout: $916.1
Potential profit: $7.33
User PnL: $18.17

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $791.2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $8.8
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $48.21

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $696.85
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $3.15
User PnL: $54.45

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $696.49
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $3.5
User PnL: $65.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $530.08
Potential payout: $579.32
Potential profit: $49.24
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $10.89

Yes position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $253.14
Potential payout: $575.32
Potential profit: $322.18
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$67.03

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $496.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $3.75
User PnL: $41.25

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $455
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $9

No position

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $441.1
Potential payout: $471.51
Potential profit: $30.41
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $408.06
Potential payout: $461.08
Potential profit: $53.02
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.31

No position

Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $423.7
Potential payout: $451.22
Potential profit: $27.52
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $409.08
Potential payout: $413.63
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $18.78

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $291.45
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1460.00 and 1479.99 at the end of January 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.72

Yes position

Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 30% and 32.9% in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.59

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $120.51

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $100.24

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $98.75

No position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.41

Yes position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1420.00 and 1439.99 at the end of January 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.03

Yes position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1440.00 and 1459.99 at the end of January 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.99

No position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1420.00 and 1439.99 at the end of January 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.98

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $59.03

Yes position

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $57.56

No position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1900.00 and 1999.99 at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $57.32

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.26

No position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1480.00 and 1499.99 at the end of January 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.77

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1500.00 or higher at the end of January 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.27

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.09

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.8

Yes position

Will monthly inflation be between 2.9% and 3.1% in January?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.15

No position

Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1420.00 at the end of January 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.95

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.62

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?