Polymarket Trader

UMAisawesome

0xf88f44466f42aaa753c4b428f13fb30e9658c334

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.07K
Realized PnL: $182.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $77.5
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $30.92K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$496.15

Yes position

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $46.5
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $30.95K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$527.15

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $379.5
Potential payout: $23K
Potential profit: $22.62K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$46.28

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $379.5
Potential payout: $23K
Potential profit: $22.62K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$339.25

Yes position

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $23K
Potential profit: $22.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$414.71

Yes position

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $34.5
Potential payout: $23K
Potential profit: $22.97K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$391.71

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $287.5
Potential payout: $23K
Potential profit: $22.71K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$138.71

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $80.5
Potential payout: $23K
Potential profit: $22.92K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$345.71

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $308.25
Potential payout: $22.83K
Potential profit: $22.52K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$115.22

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $294.67
Potential payout: $19.01K
Potential profit: $18.72K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$52.22

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $27.33
Potential payout: $18.22K
Potential profit: $18.19K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$312.49

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.9%
Current value: $3.98K
Potential payout: $16K
Potential profit: $12.02K
Multiplier: 4.02x
User PnL: $3.68K

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15.59
Potential payout: $10.39K
Potential profit: $10.38K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$176.95

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $7.62
Potential payout: $5.08K
Potential profit: $5.07K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$89.18

Switzerland position

Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$960

Under position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.24K

Kansas City Royals position

Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$960

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $80.1
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $519.88
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: $68.29

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $30.39
Potential payout: $196.04
Potential profit: $165.65
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$121.01

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $33.06
Potential payout: $72.66
Potential profit: $39.6
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.51K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.55K

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.91K

Yes position

Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74K

Yes position

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88K

Yes position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87K

Yes position

Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.01K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65K

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $3.46K

No position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21K

No position

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will the Conservatives win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Knicks position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?

No 70% 217 shares
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-02?

No 56% 3,000 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 4.3% 2,194.39 shares
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 4,000 shares
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 4,000 shares
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.2% 4,000 shares
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.4% 4,000 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.4% 2,000 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.4% 4,000 shares
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.6% 3,999.97 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 6.4% 3,424.59 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 4.7% 1,379.85 shares