No position
Will Trump dance today?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.81K
- Potential profit
- $22.81K
- User PnL
- -$211.26
Polymarket Trader
0xF8a4Cc4deA5607fef51a23BC06897c58741D8aaf-1776781424695
0xf8a4cc4dea5607fef51a23bc06897c58741d8aaf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $766.42
- Realized PnL
- $176.45
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $757.17
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $416.74
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $217.18
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $168.2
- Potential profit
- $158.95
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.07
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.7
No position
Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 5% 168.2 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 46% 1,173.91 shares
- James Comey arrested by April 29?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Will Trump dance today?No 0.5% 3,840.8 shares
- Will Trump dance today?No 1% 9,614.66 shares
- Will Trump dance today?No 1% 9,351.07 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 97.8% 423.38 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No 78% 53.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 85% 176.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 81% 246.91 shares
- Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?No 87% 114.2 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?No 82% 115.85 shares