Polymarket Trader

ell

0xf8c0e0e894beb74ef69f27fd37fffc02a43cd0a6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.55
Realized PnL: $277.21
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.28K
Potential profit: $31.28K
User PnL: -$199.99

Yes position

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.19K
Potential profit: $6.19K
User PnL: -$98.59

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.34K
Potential profit: $4.34K
User PnL: -$316.55

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $3.29K
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $2.93K
User PnL: -$199.9

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$197.81

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $781.66
Potential profit: $781.66
User PnL: -$99.95

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $771.69
Potential profit: $771.69
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $372.73
Potential profit: $372.17
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$39.44

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $13.89
Potential payout: $298.7
Potential profit: $284.81
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$6.11

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.58
Potential profit: $266.58
User PnL: -$18.66

Yes position

Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $83.33
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$8.1

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.58

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.45

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting?

Ends Jun 13, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 6.7% 298.7 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Yes 17.2% 580.19 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Yes 11.3% 881.51 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Yes 1.7% 2,403.92 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Yes 2.9% 2,774.33 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Yes 4.9% 3,294.43 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Yes 5.1% 194.32 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Yes 10.7% 372.73 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?

Yes 3.1% 1,632.95 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?

Yes 7% 266.58 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Yes 39% 256.41 shares